considering that we're always seeing probabilities for health issues, this is an interesting factor to consider
Reshared post from +Derya Unutmaz
Very good explanation of the Bayes' Theorem.
Your friends and colleagues are talking about something called "Bayes' Theorem" or "Bayes' Rule", or something called Bayesian reasoning. They sound really enthusiastic about it, too, so you google and find a webpage about Bayes' Theorem and…
It's this equation. That's all. Just one equation. The page you found gives a definition of it, but it doesn't say what it is, or why it's useful, or why your friends would be interested in it. It looks like this random statistics thing.
An Intuitive (and Short) Explanation of Bayes' Theorem | BetterExplained
Bayes' theorem was the subject of a detailed article. The essay is good, but over 15000 words long — here's the condensed version for Bayesian newcomers like myself: Tests are not the event. W…